Deportes Iquiquevs
Union Espanola
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/12/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Iquique · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Iquique 1-0 Union Espanola
Original prediction
Deportes Iquique
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.1% | 40.7% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.3% | 29.5% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.6% | 29.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Iquique
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Deportes Iquique has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40