Deportes Iquiquevs
Magallanes
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Iquique · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Iquique 4-1 Magallanes
Original prediction
Deportes Iquique
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.9% | 42.8% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.0% | 27.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 23.1% | 30.0% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Iquique
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Deportes Iquique has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60