GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/25/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Iquique are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cienciano are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cienciano

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes IquiqueLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CiencianoDLDDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes IquiqueCienciano
38.9Attack53.3
11.1Defence63.3
22.2Form50.0
27.6Power54.2
0.90xG1.94
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