GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/1/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Iquique · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Iquique are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Caracas FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Caracas FC hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Deportes Iquique holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Iquique

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Deportes Iquique has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes IquiqueDDLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Caracas FCDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes IquiqueCaracas FC
38.9Attack33.3
11.1Defence48.1
22.2Form37.0
27.6Power42.5
1.29xG1.21
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