GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Iquique are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes IquiqueWWDDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico-MGWDDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes IquiqueAtletico-MG
38.9Attack42.9
11.1Defence71.4
22.2Form61.9
27.6Power61.2
0.80xG1.61
View match centre →