GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 9/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Copiapo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportes Copiapo 1-1 Magallanes

Original prediction

Deportes Copiapo

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2939.6%38.9%-0.7 pts
Draw3.3427.1%23.0%-4.1 pts
Away2.7233.3%38.2%4.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Deportes Copiapo

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Deportes Copiapo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes CopiapoLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
MagallanesDLWWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes CopiapoMagallanes
45.6Attack57.4
47.4Defence42.6
45.6Form51.9
47.7Power53.6
1.65xG1.68
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