GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 10/24/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Copiapo · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportes Copiapo 1-1 Deportes Santa Cruz

Original prediction

Deportes Copiapo

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2740.0%46.2%6.2 pts
Draw3.2927.5%27.1%-0.5 pts
Away2.7932.5%26.8%-5.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Deportes Copiapo

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Deportes Copiapo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes CopiapoLWWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes Santa CruzDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportes CopiapoDeportes Santa Cruz
50.0Attack33.3
51.2Defence50.0
47.6Form27.4
50.2Power39.7
1.66xG0.86
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