GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Copiapo · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportes Copiapo 3-0 D. Puerto Montt

Original prediction

Deportes Copiapo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8848.7%36.7%-12.0 pts
Draw3.4126.8%29.9%3.1 pts
Away3.7324.5%33.4%8.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.0–112%

Predicted outcome

Deportes Copiapo

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Deportes Copiapo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes CopiapoWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
D. Puerto MonttLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes CopiapoD. Puerto Montt
50.0Attack40.4
48.3Defence68.4
48.3Form57.9
50.0Power57.3
0.99xG1.17
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