GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cobreloa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportes Copiapo 2-1 Cobreloa

Original prediction

Cobreloa

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1741.9%33.4%-8.5 pts
Draw3.4026.8%28.8%2.0 pts
Away2.9131.3%37.8%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.1–210%

Predicted outcome

Cobreloa

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Cobreloa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes CopiapoWWDLL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CobreloaLWWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes CopiapoCobreloa
51.3Attack56.4
50.0Defence65.4
47.4Form61.5
50.0Power61.8
1.10xG1.60
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