GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/30/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antofagasta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportes Copiapo 0-4 Antofagasta

Original prediction

Antofagasta

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3638.4%28.0%-10.4 pts
Draw3.2727.7%24.4%-3.3 pts
Away2.6833.9%47.5%13.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–111%
  3. 3.1–210%

Predicted outcome

Antofagasta

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes CopiapoLWLDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AntofagastaWDDWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes CopiapoAntofagasta
46.3Attack55.0
48.1Defence65.0
48.1Form51.7
49.0Power57.2
1.02xG1.59
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