Depor FCvs
Real Cundinamarca
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cundinamarca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Depor FC 0-1 Real Cundinamarca, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Depor FC 1-2 Real Cundinamarca
Original prediction
Real Cundinamarca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.82 | 23.8% | 28.0% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.0% | 30.5% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 48.1% | 41.5% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Projected Score
Depor FC 0–1 Real Cundinamarca
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Real Cundinamarca
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Real Cundinamarca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80