Depor FCvs
Real Cartagena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Depor FC 2-2 Real Cartagena
Original prediction
Real Cartagena
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.03 | 18.1% | 25.2% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 28.7% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.1% | 46.2% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Real Cartagena
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20