Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quindio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Depor FC 0-0 Quindio, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Depor FC 0-1 Quindio
Original prediction
Quindio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.53 | 16.5% | 18.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.0% | 29.9% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.5% | 51.5% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Projected Score
Depor FC 0–0 Quindio
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Quindio
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Quindio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Depor FCWDLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
QuindioDLWWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Depor FCQuindio
33.3Attack34.3
50.0Defence74.5
32.1Form56.9
40.8Power57.6
0.52xG0.99