Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Patriotas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Depor FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Patriotas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Patriotas hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (35.2 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Primera B, while Patriotas holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Patriotas
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Patriotas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20