Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Depor FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Orsomarso are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Orsomarso hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (35.2 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.7% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
24.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60