Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Depor FC are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Envigado are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (WDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Depor FC hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (12.5 v 10.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the Copa Colombia, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
34.1%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75