GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Denver Summit W are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Washington Spirit W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Washington Spirit WDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Denver Summit WWashington Spirit W
43.9Attack50.9
56.1Defence70.2
42.1Form63.2
49.0Power62.9
0.80xG1.28
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