GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Denver Summit W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Utah Royals W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and utah Royals W hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the NWSL Women, favouring a draw with 14.0% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.5%

Model confidence

14.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Utah Royals WWLWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Denver Summit WUtah Royals W
44.4Attack56.1
55.6Defence63.2
42.6Form57.9
49.1Power59.8
1.02xG1.41
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