GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 9/20/2026, 1:50:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Denver Summit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Denver Summit W 2-1 Seattle Reign FC W

Original prediction

Denver Summit W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7351.6%42.0%-9.6 pts
Draw3.7024.2%28.5%4.4 pts
Away3.6924.2%29.5%5.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Denver Summit W

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Denver Summit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WDDWWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Seattle Reign FC WLWWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Denver Summit WSeattle Reign FC W
54.2Attack41.7
55.6Defence59.7
44.4Form51.4
51.8Power52.8
1.39xG1.02
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