GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 10/24/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Denver Summit W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Denver Summit W 6-1 Racing Louisville W

Original prediction

Denver Summit W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3467.1%66.8%-0.4 pts
Draw4.7918.8%17.6%-1.2 pts
Away6.3614.1%15.6%1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Denver Summit W

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

66.8%

Denver Summit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WLWLWD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Racing Louisville WLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Denver Summit WRacing Louisville W
56.0Attack44.0
52.4Defence35.7
45.2Form28.6
51.6Power38.2
2.40xG1.10
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