GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Denver Summit W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while North Carolina Courage W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and north Carolina Courage W hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the NWSL Women, favouring a draw with 13.1% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

27.7%

Model confidence

13.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WDLWDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
North Carolina Courage WWLLLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Denver Summit WNorth Carolina Courage W
44.4Attack59.3
55.6Defence51.9
42.6Form55.6
49.1Power55.8
1.34xG1.47
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