GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Denver Summit W 0-0 NJ/NY Gotham FC W, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Denver Summit W 3-0 NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Original prediction

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7632.5%31.6%-0.9 pts
Draw3.2627.5%31.0%3.5 pts
Away2.2440.0%37.4%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.5 pts

Projected Score

Denver Summit W 0–0 NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NJ/NY Gotham FC WDDWWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Denver Summit WNJ/NY Gotham FC W
49.2Attack40.9
57.1Defence78.8
42.9Form68.2
50.3Power64.8
0.78xG1.01
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