GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/30/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Denver Summit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Denver Summit W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Denver Summit W hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the NWSL Women, while Denver Summit W holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Denver Summit W

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

15.9%

Denver Summit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WDWLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Chicago Red Stars WLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Denver Summit WChicago Red Stars W
43.9Attack15.8
56.1Defence40.4
42.1Form22.8
49.0Power29.8
1.77xG0.59
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