Denver Summit Wvs
Chicago Red Stars W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/30/2026, 12:55:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Denver Summit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Denver Summit W 1-0 Chicago Red Stars W, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Denver Summit W 6-1 Chicago Red Stars W
Original prediction
Denver Summit W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.2% | 54.1% | -19.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.34 | 16.9% | 25.2% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 9.03 | 10.0% | 20.8% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.1 pts
Projected Score
Denver Summit W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Denver Summit W
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Denver Summit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00