Denver Summit Wvs
Bay FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/17/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Denver Summit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Denver Summit W 2-2 Bay FC W
Original prediction
Denver Summit W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 59.8% | 60.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.4% | 22.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 18.8% | 16.9% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Denver Summit W
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Denver Summit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60