GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 10/18/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Denver Summit W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Denver Summit W 2-3 Angel City W

Original prediction

Denver Summit W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0743.4%36.1%-7.3 pts
Draw3.4426.1%28.7%2.6 pts
Away2.9530.5%35.1%4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Denver Summit W

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Denver Summit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WWLWDD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Angel City WDWWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Denver Summit WAngel City W
55.6Attack55.6
54.3Defence64.2
46.9Form53.1
52.6Power58.1
1.26xG1.41
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