Denmark U21vs
Belgium U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Denmark U21 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Denmark U21 0-0 Belgium U21
Original prediction
Denmark U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.5% | 41.1% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.6% | 26.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.9% | 32.4% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Denmark U21
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Denmark U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60