Denmark U21vs
Belarus U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Denmark U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Denmark U21 1-0 Belarus U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Denmark U21 2-0 Belarus U21
Original prediction
Denmark U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 77.4% | 65.9% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.05 | 15.1% | 21.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 12.19 | 7.5% | 13.1% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Projected Score
Denmark U21 1–0 Belarus U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Denmark U21
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Denmark U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20