Denmark U20vs
United States U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Denmark U20 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Denmark U20 3-3 United States U20
Original prediction
Denmark U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 31.1% | 36.6% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.4% | 28.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.4% | 35.3% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Denmark U20
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Denmark U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00