Denmark U19vs
Netherlands U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Denmark U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Denmark U19 1-1 Netherlands U19
Original prediction
Denmark U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.1% | 45.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.4% | 26.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.6% | 28.8% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Denmark U19
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Denmark U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20