GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/18/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dender · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Dender are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while RSC Anderlecht II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dender hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the Challenger Pro League, while Dender holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dender

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Dender has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DenderWWWDW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RSC Anderlecht IILLDWW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
DenderRSC Anderlecht II
61.1Attack43.3
64.4Defence47.8
60.0Form37.8
62.1Power44.9
2.17xG0.80
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