Dendervs
Patro Eisden
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/20/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dender · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dender 1-0 Patro Eisden
Original prediction
Dender
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.1% | 57.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.6% | 22.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.3% | 19.6% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Dender
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Dender has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20