Dendervs
Club Brugge II
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dender · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dender 3-0 Club Brugge II
Original prediction
Dender
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.8% | 53.2% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 19.9% | 23.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.3% | 23.4% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Dender
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Dender has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00