GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/8/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Denbigh Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Denbigh Town are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Caersws are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Caersws hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the FAW Championship, while Denbigh Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Denbigh Town

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Denbigh Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denbigh TownL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
CaerswsW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Denbigh TownCaersws
83.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
56.2Power64.8
1.87xG1.70
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