GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/6/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Democrata GV · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Democrata GV are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Noroeste are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Democrata GV hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Serie D, while Democrata GV holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Democrata GV

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Democrata GV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Democrata GVLDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real NoroesteDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Democrata GVReal Noroeste
41.7Attack20.0
63.9Defence63.3
50.0Form26.7
53.6Power39.7
1.03xG0.46
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