Serie DSerie D
Monday, 29 June 2026Last updated 10:07
Democrata GV

Democrata GV

Home
D
11
Full time
Ivinhema

Ivinhema

Away
D
Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas
GoalVio prediction
66% confidence
Democrata GV(66%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Democrata GV
66%
Draw
23%
Ivinhema
11%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Democrata GV
34
Ivinhema
34
Defence
Democrata GV
66
Ivinhema
66
Momentum
Democrata GV
33
Ivinhema
33
Danger (xG)
Democrata GV
0.90
Ivinhema
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Democrata GV)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ivinhema)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Democrata GV)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ivinhema)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Democrata GVDemocrata GV
D
IvinhemaIvinhema
DD

Probability breakdown

66% confidence
Democrata GV66%
Draw23%
Ivinhema11%

Democrata GV leads with 66% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Democrata GV head into this in Serie D fixture at Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas in mixed form (D), while Ivinhema arrive in mixed form (D). Democrata GV have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Ivinhema over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Democrata GV (66/100) and Ivinhema (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Democrata GV have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Ivinhema have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Democrata GV to win with 66% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Democrata GV 6556%, Draw 2315%, Ivinhema 1129%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Democrata GV 0Draws 10 Ivinhema
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
29 Jun 2026
Democrata GV
D11
Ivinhema

Recent form

Democrata GV

Democrata GV

D
vs Ivinhema
29 Jun 2026
11
Ivinhema

Ivinhema

D
@ Democrata GV
29 Jun 2026
11
D
@ Operario Ferroviario
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Democrata GV vs Ivinhema?

GoalVio's model predicts Democrata GV to win with 66% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Democrata GV vs Ivinhema?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Democrata GV vs Ivinhema?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Democrata GV vs Ivinhema?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more