GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Delfines Del Este · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Delfines Del Este 1-0 Jarabacoa

Original prediction

Delfines Del Este

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5258.5%44.0%-14.5 pts
Draw4.0222.2%28.0%5.8 pts
Away4.6119.4%28.1%8.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-14.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–013%

Predicted outcome

Delfines Del Este

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Delfines Del Este has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Delfines Del EsteWDLWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JarabacoaWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Delfines Del EsteJarabacoa
16.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power51.0
1.16xG0.91
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