CONCACAF Caribbean Club ShieldCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Delfines Del Este

Delfines Del Este

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Elite

Elite

Away
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Elite(28%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Delfines Del Este
44%
Draw
28%
Elite
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.42 xG for Delfines Del Este and 1.67 xG for Elite — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.25), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.08 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Delfines Del Este44%
Draw28%
Elite28%

Delfines Del Este leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Elite Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Delfines Del Este take on Elite in CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield.

Key factors

: ⚠️ Upset Risk Delfines Del Este have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Elite carry the stronger underlying metrics, Delfines Del Este's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Elite hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Elite.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Elite, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Delfines Del Este score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Delfines Del Este are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.25 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Delfines Del Este vs Elite?

GoalVio's model predicts Elite to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Delfines Del Este vs Elite?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Delfines Del Este vs Elite?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Delfines Del Este vs Elite?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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