Delfin SCvs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Delfin SC 0-1 Universidad Catolica, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Delfin SC 0-1 Universidad Catolica
Original prediction
Universidad Catolica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.1% | 18.1% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 29.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.3% | 52.8% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Projected Score
Delfin SC 0–1 Universidad Catolica
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40