GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/29/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Delfin SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Delfin SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Real Tomayapo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Tomayapo hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Delfin SC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Delfin SC

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Delfin SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Delfin SCWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real TomayapoLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Delfin SCReal Tomayapo
0.0Attack14.3
0.0Defence47.6
0.0Form9.5
7.0Power27.6
1.29xG0.82
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