Delfin SCvs
Mushuc Runa SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Delfin SC 0-0 Mushuc Runa SC, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Delfin SC 3-2 Mushuc Runa SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.4% | 33.1% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.1% | 33.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.5% | 33.3% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Delfin SC 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.6%
Model confidence
33.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Delfin SCDWDLW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Mushuc Runa SCDLDDW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
21.5Attack38.7
65.6Defence58.1
31.2Form41.9
42.2Power48.2
0.66xG0.74