Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Delfin SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Delfin SC 0-0 Manta FC, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Delfin SC 4-2 Manta FC
Original prediction
Delfin SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.8% | 41.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 34.8% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.5% | 23.7% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Projected Score
Delfin SC 0–0 Manta FC
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Delfin SC
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Delfin SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Delfin SCWDWDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Manta FCWWDLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Delfin SCManta FC
24.0Attack20.8
64.6Defence55.2
33.3Form28.1
43.4Power37.5
0.73xG0.48