Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Delfin SC are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.33 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Libertad are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.33/3.33
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50