GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/26/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Delfin SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Internacional are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Internacional hold a 48.1-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Delfin SCDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
InternacionalLWWDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Delfin SCInternacional
0.0Attack29.2
0.0Defence79.2
0.0Form50.0
7.0Power55.1
0.67xG0.95
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