Liga ProLiga Pro
Thursday, 2 July 2026Last updated 12:33
Delfin SC

Delfin SC

Home
WLD
11
Full time
Emelec

Emelec

Away
WDD
Estadio Jocay
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Emelec(27%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Delfin SC
45%
Draw
27%
Emelec
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Delfin SC
34
Emelec
34
Defence
Delfin SC
66
Emelec
86
Momentum
Delfin SC
44
Emelec
56
Danger (xG)
Delfin SC
0.90
Emelec
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Delfin SC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Emelec)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Delfin SC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Emelec)
0.30
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Delfin SCDelfin SC
WLDW
EmelecEmelec
WDD

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Delfin SC45%
Draw27%
Emelec27%

Delfin SC leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Delfin SC head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Jocay in mixed form (WLD), while Emelec arrive in mixed form (WDD). Delfin SC have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 33% for Emelec over 3 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Delfin SC (66/100) and Emelec (86/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Delfin SC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Emelec have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Emelec to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Delfin SC 4526%, Draw 2745%, Emelec 2729%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Delfin SC 0Draws 10 Emelec
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
5 Jul 2026
Delfin SC
D11
Emelec

Recent form

Delfin SC

Delfin SC

W
@ Manta FC
15 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Guayaquil City FC
12 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Emelec
5 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Baños Ciudad de Fuego
13 May 2026
20
Emelec

Emelec

W
@ Orense SC
17 Jul 2026
20
D
vs Barcelona SC
13 Jul 2026
00
D
@ Delfin SC
5 Jul 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Delfin SC vs Emelec?

GoalVio's model predicts Emelec to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Delfin SC vs Emelec?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Delfin SC vs Emelec?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Delfin SC vs Emelec?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more