GGOALVIO

Slovenia · 2. SNL · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dekani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dekani 1-0 Dren Vrhnika

Original prediction

Dekani

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7650.8%42.6%-8.3 pts
Draw3.4426.1%27.9%1.8 pts
Away3.8923.1%29.6%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Dekani

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Dekani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DekaniLWWDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dren VrhnikaDLWDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DekaniDren Vrhnika
66.7Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
89.7Power88.7
1.57xG1.22
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