Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dekani 0-0 Beltinci
Original prediction
Beltinci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.0% | 18.5% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.7% | 22.3% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.3% | 59.1% | 17.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DekaniDDLLW
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
BeltinciWLWLW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DekaniBeltinci
44.4Attack61.1
48.9Defence72.2
36.7Form66.7
44.6Power66.9
0.74xG1.84