GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/5/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deisenhofen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Nordlingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DeisenhofenLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NordlingenDLWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DeisenhofenNordlingen
40.0Attack64.7
40.0Defence51.0
46.7Form56.9
42.8Power57.5
1.40xG2.07
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