GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/26/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deisenhofen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nordlingen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DeisenhofenWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NordlingenWLDWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DeisenhofenNordlingen
40.0Attack64.7
40.0Defence51.0
46.7Form56.9
42.8Power57.5
1.40xG2.07
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