GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 7/26/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deisenhofen are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 3.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Heimstetten are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DeisenhofenWWLW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 3.25/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
HeimstettenWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DeisenhofenHeimstetten
40.0Attack53.3
40.0Defence53.3
46.7Form46.7
42.8Power53.0
1.42xG1.64
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