GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/7/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deisenhofen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DeisenhofenLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ErlbachDWWDD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
DeisenhofenErlbach
40.0Attack46.7
40.0Defence73.3
46.7Form53.3
42.8Power58.6
1.13xG1.56
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